There's too many points for all the teams involved there. They say that to be safe you'll probably need 37, and then go on to predict that two teams will be relegated on 38 points! I can't imagine so many teams getting so many points.
2 wins ( and a reasonable gd ) is *likely* to be enough, but certainly no guarantee at this stage.
We have 5 teams currently averaging under 1 point per game. Most of them will remain at around that point average, and so will get approx. 10 points more - and we have a 4 point start on the best of them.
A decent piece of journalism, properly researched and well put together. Love the projected outcome!
At the end of the day, though, it's no more likely to be accurate than some of the sloppy journalistic predictions we've seen. I'm sticking to my position at the start of the season - I will relax when we get 40 points, and only then! (Unless of course the season ends before that and we still stay up!)