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[Albion] The bottom half of the Premier League: 10 teams, 6 points



Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,575
Back in Sussex
Shit 'bout to get real.

Screen Shot 2017-12-12 at 22.12.58.png
 




portlock seagull

Why? Why us?
Jul 28, 2003
16,979
Palace will overtake us by Xmas. And if they’ve had the worlds worst ever start to a campaign in history, it says something about our performances. #5newstrikersatleast
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
31,730
Brighton
Huge win for palace that. Shaping up to be a very exciting relegation battle for the neutrals. Horrible for us.
 


djentist

New member
Aug 15, 2017
624
4 points minimum needed from Burnley and Watford, could very easily be where West Brom are by Christmas otherwise
 




Shooting Star

Well-known member
Apr 29, 2011
2,794
Suffolk
Would have bitten your hand off at the beginning of the season for 13th at this stage.
 










Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,575
Back in Sussex
Palace will overtake us by Xmas.

Don't think they will.

Assume we lose tomorrow, then...

16/12 Albion v Burnley / Leicester v Palace
23/12 Albion v Watford / Swansea v Palace

If we lose both, they still need to win both to go above us (4 points would do, but would require a significant GD swing)
 






portlock seagull

Why? Why us?
Jul 28, 2003
16,979
Don't think they will.

Assume we lose tomorrow, then...

16/12 Albion v Burnley / Leicester v Palace
23/12 Albion v Watford / Swansea v Palace

If we lose both, they still need to win both to go above us (4 points would do, but would require a significant GD swing)

Boxing Day Sales then, but you get my point.
 




theboybilly

Well-known member
We played away against 10 men and didn't beat them!

Yes, but we put up a good show and only the woodwork stopped us from being ahead with it still 11 v 11. That was a good result at Vicarage Road. Palace have had a kind run of fixtures of late but there are harder games coming up - much harder. They were lucky tonight, very lucky. Go through their remaining fixtures and ask yourself how many points you think they'll get. Watford was probably their easiest remaining home game
 






portlock seagull

Why? Why us?
Jul 28, 2003
16,979
They've then got:

Palace v Arsenal
Palace v Man City
Southampton v Palace
Palace v Burnley
Arsenal v Palace

Shit. They’ll be in Champs League position by Feb then,
 


Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,575
Back in Sussex
This shows a very good point. League position, almost, means nothing as all the bottom half teams games against the top clubs are out of sync and can come in patches. This means you can shoot up or plummet down the league simply based on your fixture list.

Indeed. I made the analogy the other day that it's like a 400m race. You don't really know where you are until the stagger unwinds.
 






jimhigham

Je Suis Rhino
Apr 25, 2009
7,699
Woking
I like that analogy. We may have several bends to unstagger though!

A fair point but one that fails to take into account momentum. Palace have that going on now and have stopped losing. We seem to be on the cusp of adopting that habit.
 





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