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A look back at promoted teams transfer window's - past 6 seasons



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Hove / Παρος
Apr 7, 2006
6,537
Hove / Παρος
I thought it may be interesting to get some perspective and have a look at what other promoted teams have done in the summer window and how they've fared in the following season

I can't say the results are able to tell us too much, but there are some loose conclusions we can draw from the data.

When Players are Signed
1. If you sign more than 50% of your players in July your chances of staying up are 60%.
2. If you sign less than 50% of your players in July your chances of staying up are 40%.

We signed 50% of our players in July, and 50% after so not sure what that tells us!

On a side note (and based on very limited data) it also looks that doing a lot of your business early can be a bad thing - perhaps not getting the quality in at the start of the window than you can find at the end? Reading 12-13 and Boro 16-17 did a lot of business early and panned. Let's see what Huddersfield and Newcastle do who are next in the list of early business.

How many players are brought in
1. If you sign 10 players or more your chances of staying up are 71%.
2. If you sign 9 players or less your chances of staying up are 38%.

We signed 8 players so not looking good on that front! If only we'd signed those two elusive strikers!

Screen Shot 2017-08-31 at 22.53.10.png


The data, teams that managed to stay up:

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Screen Shot 2017-08-31 at 22.43.53.png


more to follow.... (teams that went down)
 








Aug 23, 2011
1,864


Ⓩ-Ⓐ-Ⓜ-Ⓞ-Ⓡ-Ⓐ

Hove / Παρος
Apr 7, 2006
6,537
Hove / Παρος
A quick glance at that (and without checking my memory) it seems that the teams that sign the most players were the ones that came up through the playoffs rather than automatic

Should have included that stat - not entirely true, Watford 15-16 and Bournemouth 15-16 had both gone up automatically the year before and signed a lot of players
 




Aug 23, 2011
1,864
Ⓩ-Ⓐ-Ⓜ-Ⓞ-Ⓡ-Ⓐ;8104979 said:
Should have included that stat - not entirely true, Watford 15-16 and Bournemouth 15-16 had both gone up automatically the year before and signed a lot of players

was that the watford team that got promoted with a team full of loan players though?
 


Aug 23, 2011
1,864
Ⓩ-Ⓐ-Ⓜ-Ⓞ-Ⓡ-Ⓐ;8104979 said:
Should have included that stat - not entirely true, Watford 15-16 and Bournemouth 15-16 had both gone up automatically the year before and signed a lot of players

you could also make the case that a number of the bournemouth squad were from when they were promoted from league 1 as they didn't make many signings in either year they were in the championship so needed quite a few
 


Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
So basically we've got a 50/50 chance of staying up.


The 25 man squad has to be named by 4pm today.
 


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