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Experimental 361 has just coughed up lots of numbers.



Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Patreon
Jul 11, 2003
73,367
West west west Sussex
https://experimental361.com/category/divisions/championship/


2016-17-ch-days-in-each-pos.png


2016-17-ch-ad.png

2016-17-ch-att.png

2016-17-ch-def.png

2016-17-ch-eg.png
 


Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Patreon
Jul 11, 2003
73,367
West west west Sussex
2016-17-ch-ages.png


Each graphic shows a club’s main attacking players: those who have:

Featured for at least a third of their total pitch minutes in the league this season, and
Taken an average of at least one shot per game.
The size of each player’s bubble is proportional to the percentage of possible minutes that they’ve played.

Each player’s bubble is plotted on a chart with the two axes working like this:

On the horizontal axis we have their goal threat, based on the “expected goals” value of shots taken per 90 minutes. This is effectively a measure of the combined quality of their goalscoring chances.
On the vertical axis we have their scoring rate, using a less abstract measure of actual number of goals scored per 90 minutes.
Both axes exclude penalties, as those can massively skew a player’s contribution away from the threat they pose from open play.

There’s a shaded “stripe” which indicates the long-term shot conversion rate of all finishers except the top and bottom 10%, so we can identify those whose performance may be unsustainable (i.e. unlikely to be repeated next season). If a player is above the stripe, they’re converting chances at a rate consistent with someone in the top 10% of finishers, and likewise a player below the line is in the worst 10%. Based on what we know about the specific player, we can therefore take a view on whether we expect their scoring rate to continue.

2016-17-brighton.png
 


Motogull

Todd Warrior
Sep 16, 2005
9,796
Nice one.

Looking at the first chart must be tough for Leeds, especially when looking at Fulham's numbers.

:lol:
 



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