I thought it was a done deal, but maybe not

Simster · Apr 30, 2017

I'd given up on the Nigels going down, but thanks to their last home defeat, all is not lost. They still need two points to be certain of safety, but look at their fixture list:

Man City AWAY
Hull City HOME
Man Utd AWAY

The one fixture that stands out there is the Hull game. Hull are one of two clubs who could catch them. It's a big if but IF Hull won that won, they'd only need two points to overtake them. But here's the thing: one of their other two games is Sunderland at home!

So going back to the dream scenario of three Palace defeats, Swansea would need seven points to overtake Palace. And guess what, they've got Sunderland too (away). :lol:

Can they get four more points from their two home games against Everton and West Brom?

A few ifs and buts but it can't be ruled out. Nicely done, agents Ward, Vokes and Sir Ashley Barnes. :thumbsup:

spence · Apr 30, 2017

I reckon they have enough points now even if they lost all 3

Goldstone1976 · Apr 30, 2017

Simster said:
Swansea would need seven points to overtake Palace.

I believe there is some evidence of a team making up six of the seven points they need to overtake the team above them in only two of the last three games....

hart's shirt · Apr 30, 2017

If Palace go down, we'll miss the chance to clap them off the pitch.

Bold Seagull · Apr 30, 2017

spence said:
I reckon they have enough points now even if they lost all 3

Dunno, Swansea have 3 winnable games, can see them getting 7 or 9 points, putting them on 39 or 41. Hull will beat Sunderland at home, putting them on 37 then visit Palace in what may well be a pivotal game. I'm not sure I'd feel safe on 38 just yet.

Stat Brother · Apr 30, 2017

spence said:
I reckon they have enough points now even if they lost all 3

Possibly, but in that scenario they'll relying on nervously huddling around trannys, knees trembling, before being able to celebrate finishing 4th bottom.

What an 18 months of football they would have enjoyed.

Simster · Apr 30, 2017

spence said:
I reckon they have enough points now even if they lost all 3

Bold Seagull said:
Dunno, Swansea have 3 winnable games, can see them getting 7 or 9 points, putting them on 39 or 41. Hull will beat Sunderland at home, putting them on 37 then visit Palace in what may well be a pivotal game. I'm not sure I'd feel safe on 38 just yet.

They are a best priced 25/1 to go down, which is probably about right but there are about two or three keys results that could cause those odds to tumble. Firstly, Hull would have to beat them at Selhurst Slum, secondly Swansea would have to beat Sunderland away, and then finally we have to hope Palace don't manage to nick a point in Manchester.

British Bulldog · Apr 30, 2017

They'll stay up, Boro are as good as gone and it's between Hull and Swansea for the last spot.

desprateseagull · May 1, 2017

Half of me wants them to go down..

But the other half wants them to stay up, so we can do them over (on the pitch only!).

pasty · May 1, 2017

Think Hull will overhaul Palace, especially if they beat them at Selhurst, but sadly can't see Swansea doing it.

El Turi · May 1, 2017

I think Hull have only won one away match all season so unfortunately I can't see them picking up a win at Selhurst. Saying that, wasn't Saturday's result Burnley's first away win all season?

Garage_Doors · May 1, 2017

El Turi said:
I think Hull have only won one away match all season so unfortunately I can't see them picking up a win at Selhurst. Saying that, wasn't Saturday's result Burnley's first away win all season?

Yes it was.

Stat Brother · May 1, 2017

El Turi said:
I think Hull have only won one away match all season so unfortunately I can't see them picking up a win at Selhurst. Saying that, wasn't Saturday's result Burnley's first away win all season?

Away wins:-

Leicester 2
Sunderland 2
Burnley 1
Hull 1
'Boro 1

You'd like to think, over the course of 18 games, the Albion could do better than that.

Dougie · May 1, 2017

We're doomed i tells ya DOOMED!!!

Wrong-Direction · May 1, 2017

.

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Gazwag · May 1, 2017

Its amazingly tight in the second division of the premier league, I'm sure Palace were something like 11th before this weekends matches

Kinky Gerbil · May 1, 2017

The Rashford dive/ open goal miss saw Swansea doomed yesterday.

Herr Tubthumper · May 1, 2017

spence said:
I reckon they have enough points now even if they lost all 3

I agree. They won't be overtaken by all the teams below them; the teams below them are there because they lose games not win them.

Icy Gull · May 1, 2017

They are not going down and worryingly they currently have a much better squad than us and a manager who is just as good as ours, maybe better ( do I need a tin hat with that comment?) Set up nicely for next season....

Stat Brother · May 1, 2017

Icy Gull said:
They are not going down and worryingly they currently have a much better squad than us and a manager who is just as good as ours, maybe better ( do I need a tin hat with that comment?) Set up nicely for next season....

This is the bit I don't get about the 'we'll be alright' brigade.

The bottom half of the table isn't shite.
palace (16) to West Brom (8) are all varying levels of better than the Albion.

I'd like to think we could give Watford, Burnley and perhaps Bournemouth a run for their money.
But they'll all be getting stronger from a position of strength.

Swapping places with Sunderland, Boro & Hull has to rate as one of the worst years to go up.

I firmly believe the Albion is perfectly set up to have a good run at the division, I just can't see next season as the time to get a toe hold.

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