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Things just wouldn't be the same without THE graph of the season



Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Jul 11, 2003
73,270
West west west Sussex
2017-04-15-ch-probabilities.png
 

GoldWithFalmer

Seaweed! Seaweed!
Apr 24, 2011
12,687
SouthCoast
Should we be 99% or something?
 


Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Jul 11, 2003
73,270
West west west Sussex


Postman Pat

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
6,971
Coldean
It isn't based on the current situation, but using a model based on remaining games:

Below I’ve used each club’s current ratings and those of their remaining opponents to predict how the rest of the season could play out. Each of the remaining fixtures has been simulated thousands of times, using the current E Ratings to generate probabilities for where each club will finish.

This graphic shows the cumulative probability of where each club could end up, in descending order of average points won. You can think of the ordering of the teams down the left hand side as a “best guess” of the final league table, with the coloured bars showing the relative likelihood of each club ending up in a certain section of the table.

Therefore the model can see no way we can't finish top 2.
 

GoldWithFalmer

Seaweed! Seaweed!
Apr 24, 2011
12,687
SouthCoast
Therefore the model can see no way we can't finish top 2.

To clarify,we safe for at least another season in the Championship at worst then.
 


Garage_Doors

Originally the Swankers
Jun 28, 2008
11,789
Brighton
Can some post an updated line graph of the points per game against points needed for promotion please
 

Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Jul 11, 2003
73,270
West west west Sussex
ch-2017-04-17.png

2017-04-17-brighton-wigan.png
 

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