Copeland By-election

deletebeepbeepbeep

Well-known member

May 12, 2009

20,957

• Dec 21, 2016

• #1

Jamie Reed has quit as a labour MP forcing a by-election in the marginal labour seat of Copeland in West Cumbria. The Tories and UKIP would both hope to potentially win this seat off Labour.

Should be more interesting than the recent by-elections, I expect the Tories will be installed as favourites to win it.

 

Titanic

Super Moderator

Helpful Moderator

Jul 5, 2003

39,069

West Sussex

• Dec 21, 2016

• #2

Labour retained the seat in 2015 with a 2,564 majority.

62% voted to leave the EU in Copeland - the strongest showing in Cumbria.

Interesting.

 

deletebeepbeepbeep

Well-known member

May 12, 2009

20,957

• Dec 21, 2016

• Thread starter
• #3

This is probably giving them more credit then they deserve but I wonder whether rebel labour MPs have identified this seat as one that labour would not only lose but could potentially be knocked down to third. That would make Corbyn's tenure look very fragile.

And yes I realise he quit for a new job and not for political reasons but I don't think the two reasons are incompatible.

 

Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member

Aug 13, 2003

12,923

Central Borneo / the Lizard

• Dec 21, 2016

• #4

why's he gone?

 

Titanic

Super Moderator

Helpful Moderator

Jul 5, 2003

39,069

West Sussex

• Dec 21, 2016

• #5

Kalimantan Gull said:

why's he gone?

Click to expand...

New job as Head of Development and Community Relations at Sellafield.

 

Lower West Stander

Well-known member

Mar 25, 2012

4,753

Back in Sussex

• Dec 21, 2016

• #6

Adopts whiny Diane Abbott voice....

"But what we're ignoring here is what an amazing person Jeremy Corbyn is...."

 

JC Footy Genius

Bringer of TRUTH

Jun 9, 2015

10,568

• Dec 21, 2016

• #7

Titanic said:

Labour retained the seat in 2015 with a 2,564 majority.

62% voted to leave the EU in Copeland - the strongest showing in Cumbria.

Interesting.

Click to expand...

Unlikely to see a Lib Dem surge then

Kalimantan Gull said:

why's he gone?

Click to expand...

Jumping ship before being pushed .. by the electorate at the next General election.

 

jonny.rainbow

Well-known member

Oct 29, 2005

6,607

• Dec 21, 2016

• #8

JC Footy Genius said:

Unlikely to see a Lib Dem surge then



Jumping ship before being pushed .. by the electorate at the next General election.

Click to expand...

His constituency won't exist by the next general election.

 

J

Jim D

Well-known member

Jul 23, 2003

5,249

Worthing

• Dec 21, 2016

• #9

jonny.rainbow said:

His constituency won't exist by the next general election.

Click to expand...

Is it that close to Sellafield then?

 

Pavilionaire

Well-known member

Jul 7, 2003

30,570

• Dec 21, 2016

• #10

If UKIP can't win that seat they can forget about it.

 

beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius

Jul 21, 2003

35,303

• Dec 21, 2016

• #11

not sure Labour will lose this unless the Tories and UKIP make a pact only one runs, otherwise they'll split the vote. then again a strong Liberal showing could take enough off Labour to let the Tories in. how tactical will the locals go?

 

Titanic

Super Moderator

Helpful Moderator

Jul 5, 2003

39,069

West Sussex

• Dec 21, 2016

• #12

2015 General Election result:

Lab (Jamie Reed) 16,750 42.3%
Con (Stephen Haraldsen) 14,186 35.8%
UKIP (Michael Pye) 6,148 15.5%
LDem (Danny Gallagher) 1,368 3.5%
Green (Allan Todd) 1,179 3.0%

 

Leekbrookgull

Well-known member

Jul 14, 2005

16,250

Leek

• Dec 22, 2016

• #13

Copeland By-election.

Not sure of the date for this By-election. Could be an interesting test for Labour ?https://www.ncpolitics.uk/2016/12/copeland-by-election.html/