Does anyone still think 87 points will be enough for auto?

Seagull58

In the Algarve

Jan 31, 2012

7,238

Vilamoura, Portugal

• Apr 17, 2016

• #1

With 11 games left there was a lot of discussion about whether 87 points would be enough. I was firmly in the No camp (and still am). My feeling was 8 wins and 2 draws would be needed, leaving us on 90 points. So far we've managed 5 wins and 2 draws and I still feel another 3 wins (minimum!) will be needed.
Anyone disagree?

 

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Bald Gull

Well-known member

Jul 5, 2003

1,510

London

• Apr 17, 2016

• #2

I think 3 wins and a draw will do it...

 

Westdene Seagull

aka Cap'n Carl Firecrotch

NSC Patron

Oct 27, 2003

20,989

The arse end of Hangleton

• Apr 17, 2016

• #3

Definitely not this season.

 

Arkwright

Arkwright

Oct 26, 2010

2,789

Caterham, Surrey

• Apr 17, 2016

• #4

Someone is going into the Playoffs with ninety something points.

 

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saafend_seagull

Well-known member

Jul 5, 2003

13,891

BN1

• Apr 17, 2016

• #5

Said ever since February, 90 points will be needed due to our goal difference. Likely to be 91 needed now.

Majority were saying 86/87 which is way off by using statistics which is completely Irrelevant.

For 89 points to be enough, burnley would have to go on the worst run of their entire season by picking up 5 points from 4 games (including Charlton to play).


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S

Saint Lennard

Prawn Sarnie Casual

Sep 30, 2004

1,256

Seafront shelters

• Apr 17, 2016

• #6

No. I reckon 90.

 

Mackenzie

Old Brightonian

Nov 7, 2003

33,532

East Wales

• Apr 17, 2016

• #7

Not this year. Probably 90

 

glasfryn

cleaning up cat sick

Nov 29, 2005

20,261

somewhere in Eastbourne

• Apr 17, 2016

• #8

As many as possible

 

sparkie

Well-known member

Jul 17, 2003

12,497

Hove

• Apr 17, 2016

• #9

91 or 93 needed for albion.

 

Hugo Rune

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Feb 23, 2012

21,606

Brighton

• Apr 17, 2016

• #10

Boro delivered a knockout punch to Hull; they never recovered from the 1-0 loss.

Boro's 0-3 destruction of ourselves almost saw us drop out of the play-offs with a terrible run of form but we had time to pick ourselves up from the canvas.

Burnley are pretty one dimensional, I can see Ayala and his defence keeping their set pieces out. If Boro beat them, will Burnley be able to recover or will they be out for the count? We can help them throw in the towel if we beat QPR & Charlton.

 

Seagull58

In the Algarve

Jan 31, 2012

7,238

Vilamoura, Portugal

• Apr 17, 2016

• Thread starter
• #11

glasfryn said:

As many as possible

Click to expand...

Surely, the answer is as few as possible?

 

Stumpy Tim

Well-known member

Jul 6, 2003

14,023

Back in Brighton. Well Hove actually

• Apr 17, 2016

• #12

I think we're going to need to win at Boro on the last day of the season

 

Triggaaar

Well-known member

Oct 24, 2005

50,145

Goldstone

• Apr 17, 2016

• #13

saafend_seagull said:

Majority were saying 86/87 which is way off by using statistics which is completely Irrelevant.

Click to expand...

It looks way off now, but that's only because the top 3 have had great runs.

For 89 points to be enough, burnley would have to go on the worst run of their entire season by picking up 5 points from 4 games

Click to expand...

For 89 to be enough for us, yes, but 89 might be enough for Burnley.

 

Triggaaar

Well-known member

Oct 24, 2005

50,145

Goldstone

• Apr 17, 2016

• #14

glasfryn said:

As many as possible

Click to expand...

As few as possible.

 

Megazone

On his last warning

Jan 28, 2015

8,679

Northern Hemisphere.

• Apr 17, 2016

• #15

Does anyone think 93 points will be enough for auto?

 

Triggaaar

Well-known member

Oct 24, 2005

50,145

Goldstone

• Apr 17, 2016

• #16

Hugo Rune said:

Boro delivered a knockout punch to Hull; they never recovered from the 1-0 loss.

Click to expand...

That's not actually true, Hull were in trouble before then, winning 3 points from the previous 4 games - they've got 7 points from the last 4 games.

Our bad run of form coincided with our injuries, it wasn't because of losing to 'brough.

Of course I hope that's what happens to Burnley, but it doesn't look likely.

 

glasfryn

cleaning up cat sick

Nov 29, 2005

20,261

somewhere in Eastbourne

• Apr 17, 2016

• #17

Seagull58 said:

Surely, the answer is as few as possible?

Click to expand...

Triggaaar said:

As few as possible.

Click to expand...

it was in answer to the original question
DOES ANYONE STILL THINK 87 POINTS WILL BE ENOUGH FOR AUTO
my answer was AS MANY AS POSSIBLE ..........................whats hard to understand about that

 

ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv

Apr 11, 2016

14,743

Rape of Hastings, Sussex

• Apr 17, 2016

• #18

In The Premier League Era, excluding the 94/95 season when only 2 went up, the highest points totals for finishing 3rd have been:

Sunderland - 1997/1998 - 90
Portsmouth - 1992/1993 - 88
Ipswich - 1999/2000 - 87
Bolton - 2000/2001 - 87
Ipswich - 1998-1999 - 86
Wolves - 2001/2002 - 86
Norwich - 2014/2015 - 86
Derby - 2013/2014 - 85
West Ham - 2011/2012 - 86
Ipswich - 2004/2005 - 85
Derby - 2006/2007 - 84
Watford - 2005/2006 - 81
Sheffield United - 2002/2003 - 80
Sheffield United - 2008/2009 - 80
Swansea City - 2010/2011 - 80 (Cardiff finished 4th on 80 points also)

Swings-and-roundabouts though as Hull City went up 2nd on 79 points in the 2012/2013 season, for example.

 

Triggaaar

Well-known member

Oct 24, 2005

50,145

Goldstone

• Apr 17, 2016

• #19

glasfryn said:

it was in answer to the original question
DOES ANYONE STILL THINK 87 POINTS WILL BE ENOUGH FOR AUTO
my answer was AS MANY AS POSSIBLE ..........................whats hard to understand about that

Click to expand...

It's not hard to understand, you got it wrong.

Will 87 points be enough? How many will be enough?

We want the amount required to be as few as possible.

The question you answered was 'how many points will we get?', which wasn't the question.

 

Perkino

Well-known member

Dec 11, 2009

5,986

• Apr 17, 2016

• #20

What a ridiculous season. Not one team running away with the title but 3 teams pushing hard for 2 automatic places.