[Albion] Graph Time! Expected goals: the season so far

8ace

Banned

Jul 21, 2003

23,811

Brighton

• Nov 2, 2015

• #1

Surprise leaders Brighton look to have earned their place at the top of the division with comfortably the best attacking performance and one of the better defensive showings so far. However they need to start converting more of those excellent goalscoring chances as they’ve now drawn five of their last seven matches and have yet to win a game by more than one goal.

Click to expand...

http://experimental361.com/2015/11/01/expected-goals-the-season-so-far/
[MENTION=236]Papa Lazarou[/MENTION] was asking for a source of xG data earlier in the season IIRC

 

dazzer6666

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Mar 27, 2013

52,348

Burgess Hill

• Nov 2, 2015

• #2

Oooh, post this on the Owls board [emoji3]

 

G

GingerBeerMan

3-0

Dec 29, 2011

8,022

• Nov 2, 2015

• #3

What does it mean by expected?

 

dazzer6666

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Mar 27, 2013

52,348

Burgess Hill

• Nov 2, 2015

• #4

GingerBeerMan said:

What does it mean by expected?

Click to expand...

Click on the link....

 

Moshe Gariani

Well-known member

Mar 10, 2005

12,070

• Nov 2, 2015

• #5

Basically measuring what on average "should" have happened based on quality of chances at both ends of pitch...

We're top of the league and deserve to be.

 

8ace

Banned

Jul 21, 2003

23,811

Brighton

• Nov 2, 2015

• Thread starter
• #6

GingerBeerMan said:

What does it mean by expected?

Click to expand...

It's basically a measure of not just how many chances a team creates, but how good those chances are.
So a header inside the six-yard box scores higher than a speculative shot from 35 yards.

http://experimental361.com/explanations/match-timelines/

http://11tegen11.net/2014/02/10/what-is-expg/

 

8ace

Banned

Jul 21, 2003

23,811

Brighton

• Nov 2, 2015

• Thread starter
• #7

dazzer6666 said:

Oooh, post this on the Owls board [emoji3]

Click to expand...

You'll only confuse them dazzer, stats is for poofs or something

 

P

PHCgull

Gus-ambivalent User

Mar 5, 2009

1,303

• Nov 2, 2015

• #8

That certainly puts a different light on the Preston game/result

 

Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!

Sep 1, 2012

32,165

Valhalla

• Nov 2, 2015

• #9

dazzer6666 said:

Oooh, post this on the Owls board [emoji3]

Click to expand...

Hope someone does. Teach the clueless amongst them why we are top of the league

 

JC Footy Genius

Bringer of TRUTH

Jun 9, 2015

10,568

• Nov 2, 2015

• #10

Ooooh that's going on my Xmas list, can you get that graph in poster size ?