nicko31
Well-known member
Apologies if already covered. What's our best ever start to a season, in terms of most games without defeat?
Apologies if already covered. What's our best ever start to a season, in terms of most games without defeat?
What's our longest unbeaten run at any time during a season? I don't think we're close yet are we?
Do find that an amazing stat. Runs of 10 games or more without defeat at other points in the season are pretty common
Statistically it's not amazing. Firstly, there probably aren't that many runs of games where we go ten unbeaten (almost 20% of the season). Secondly, during the season if you lose a game you can have another shot at starting a 10 game unbeaten run before the season ends. If you're looking at just the first ten games, you can't restart the "10 unbeaten" target until the start of next season. So during the season we could have 20 - 30 attempts at a ten game unbeaten run, yet in 10 years we'll only get 10 attempts at a "first ten games unbeaten" run. That made sense in my mind, hopefully it does to other people too.
While I'm at it, if we carry on this form of points per game, we'll end the season on 104 points. Just enough to get us promoted I'd imagine
I make it 37
16, 1930 - 31, according to statto.com
I thought we went 18 unbeaten in 87-88. Seem to remember us getting clumped 5-2 at Bristol City to end the run.
[edit]
It was 17 unbeaten, although 4 of those were cup games.
http://www.11v11.com/teams/brighton-and-hove-albion/tab/matches/season/1988
Didn't Charlton Athletic go 12 games 'ish unbeaten at the start of last season ? (A lot more draws than we have had).
I thought we went 18 unbeaten in 87-88. Seem to remember us getting clumped 5-2 at Bristol City to end the run.
I thought we went 18 unbeaten in 87-88. Seem to remember us getting clumped 5-2 at Bristol City to end the run.
[edit]
It was 17 unbeaten, although 4 of those were cup games.
http://www.11v11.com/teams/brighton-and-hove-albion/tab/matches/season/1988
This might be wrong but let's assume the chance of a win or draw is 0.7%, the chance of two consecutive wins or draws is 0.7 x 0.7 = 0.7^2 = 0.49. Extrapolate to next 35 games: 0.7^35 = 0.00038% which is about 38/100,000 which is about 1 in 2,632. Obviously doesn't account for factors, the most important one being te chance of staying unbeaten in each consecutive match will increase as more proof arises about the ability of our squad vs the opposition (I.e if we win 10 in a row it's more likely we'll win the 11th).Not wishing to tempt fate but I wonder what the odds are for us to stay unbeaten all season