nicko31
Well-known member
Apologies if already covered. What's our best ever start to a season, in terms of most games without defeat?
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Albions best ever start to a season?
- Thread starter nicko31
- Start date
You're in it
Joey Jo Jo Jr. Shabadoo
Waxing chumps like candles since ‘75
- Oct 4, 2003
- 11,055
This season is our best start ever, twice previously we'd been unbeaten for the first 8 games and lost the 9th.
16, 1930 - 31, according to statto.com
Wrong-Direction
Well-known member
- Mar 10, 2013
- 13,416
We're making history right now, enjoy the ride
AlbionPics&SouthCoastTwit
New member
Good start.
GingerBeerMan
3-0
- Dec 29, 2011
- 8,024
Statistically it's not amazing. Firstly, there probably aren't that many runs of games where we go ten unbeaten (almost 20% of the season). Secondly, during the season if you lose a game you can have another shot at starting a 10 game unbeaten run before the season ends. If you're looking at just the first ten games, you can't restart the "10 unbeaten" target until the start of next season. So during the season we could have 20 - 30 attempts at a ten game unbeaten run, yet in 10 years we'll only get 10 attempts at a "first ten games unbeaten" run. That made sense in my mind, hopefully it does to other people too.
While I'm at it, if we carry on this form of points per game, we'll end the season on 104 points. Just enough to get us promoted I'd imagine
The Maharajah of Sydney
Well-known member
Statistically it's not amazing. Firstly, there probably aren't that many runs of games where we go ten unbeaten (almost 20% of the season). Secondly, during the season if you lose a game you can have another shot at starting a 10 game unbeaten run before the season ends. If you're looking at just the first ten games, you can't restart the "10 unbeaten" target until the start of next season. So during the season we could have 20 - 30 attempts at a ten game unbeaten run, yet in 10 years we'll only get 10 attempts at a "first ten games unbeaten" run. That made sense in my mind, hopefully it does to other people too.
While I'm at it, if we carry on this form of points per game, we'll end the season on 104 points. Just enough to get us promoted I'd imagine
I make it 37
GingerBeerMan
3-0
- Dec 29, 2011
- 8,024
Hypothetically, yes. Realistically, no.
Easy 10
Brain dead MUG SHEEP
I thought we went 18 unbeaten in 87-88. Seem to remember us getting clumped 5-2 at Bristol City to end the run.
[edit]
It was 17 unbeaten, although 4 of those were cup games.
http://www.11v11.com/teams/brighton-and-hove-albion/tab/matches/season/1988
Last edited:
1930 - 31 is the longest league run (16), plus a win against Leicester in the FA Cup 3rd round to boot.
Joey Jo Jo Jr. Shabadoo
Waxing chumps like candles since ‘75
- Oct 4, 2003
- 11,055
11 games, 4 wins and 7 draws. They lost their 12th league game to Bournemouth.
portslade seagull
Well-known member
Not wishing to tempt fate but I wonder what the odds are for us to stay unbeaten all season
Juan Albion
Chicken Sniffer 3rd Class
And the police tried to confiscate our celery.
Hampster Gull
New member
- Dec 22, 2010
- 13,462
Ended by Bristol City
GingerBeerMan
3-0
- Dec 29, 2011
- 8,024
This might be wrong but let's assume the chance of a win or draw is 0.7%, the chance of two consecutive wins or draws is 0.7 x 0.7 = 0.7^2 = 0.49. Extrapolate to next 35 games: 0.7^35 = 0.00038% which is about 38/100,000 which is about 1 in 2,632. Obviously doesn't account for factors, the most important one being te chance of staying unbeaten in each consecutive match will increase as more proof arises about the ability of our squad vs the opposition (I.e if we win 10 in a row it's more likely we'll win the 11th).