Mo Gosfield
Well-known member
- Aug 11, 2010
- 6,297
Well certainly an improvement on the pathetic 44 of last season.
The top half of 14-15 looked like this......
Bournemth........98
Watford............91
Norwich............88
Boro.................68
Brentfrd............78
Ipswich.............72
Wolves.............70
Derby...............85
Blackburn.........66
Brum................54
Cardiff..............57
Charlton............54
Observations.....
1) Automatic promotion probably needs 85 goals.
2) Play-offs probably need 70 goals.
3) Top ten probably needs 65 goals,
4) Top half probably needs 55-60 goals.
Where are our goals coming from?
a) Defence. Providing we still have him, Dunk should be good for 4-5. Throw in the odd 1's and 2's from others and we will end up with about 12.
b) Midfield. No evidence of a regular scorer here. No set-piece expert curling in 6-8 from deadball situations. The best we can hope for is 3-4's from Stephens, Kayal and 1-2's from JFC, Ince, Crofts etc. We will do well to get 15 in total from here.
c) Wide. If no new wide-man comes in....KLL and March will get about 4 in total. A new man might add another 4-5. So the goals spread is 4-9.
d) Strikers. Now here is the difficult bit. Hemed is the unknown but I like the look of him and think he can get 12+. Baldock given a longer run 8-10. COG 4-5. Colunga 5. BZ 2. Others 2. Total approx 30- 35.
Realistic figure.....about 65. Result 10th - 8th position.
Anyone comes out the woodwork and surprises us ( e.g Hemed with 18-20 ) and we could be fringe play-offs. Below par with these figures and we will be looking 14th-10th position.
The top half of 14-15 looked like this......
Bournemth........98
Watford............91
Norwich............88
Boro.................68
Brentfrd............78
Ipswich.............72
Wolves.............70
Derby...............85
Blackburn.........66
Brum................54
Cardiff..............57
Charlton............54
Observations.....
1) Automatic promotion probably needs 85 goals.
2) Play-offs probably need 70 goals.
3) Top ten probably needs 65 goals,
4) Top half probably needs 55-60 goals.
Where are our goals coming from?
a) Defence. Providing we still have him, Dunk should be good for 4-5. Throw in the odd 1's and 2's from others and we will end up with about 12.
b) Midfield. No evidence of a regular scorer here. No set-piece expert curling in 6-8 from deadball situations. The best we can hope for is 3-4's from Stephens, Kayal and 1-2's from JFC, Ince, Crofts etc. We will do well to get 15 in total from here.
c) Wide. If no new wide-man comes in....KLL and March will get about 4 in total. A new man might add another 4-5. So the goals spread is 4-9.
d) Strikers. Now here is the difficult bit. Hemed is the unknown but I like the look of him and think he can get 12+. Baldock given a longer run 8-10. COG 4-5. Colunga 5. BZ 2. Others 2. Total approx 30- 35.
Realistic figure.....about 65. Result 10th - 8th position.
Anyone comes out the woodwork and surprises us ( e.g Hemed with 18-20 ) and we could be fringe play-offs. Below par with these figures and we will be looking 14th-10th position.