Budget and league position

Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!

Sep 1, 2012

32,165

Valhalla

• Dec 21, 2014

• #1

There has long been a theory that a team finishes roughly in the same position as where its relative budget lies in the table.

So, is our budget the 3rd worst in the league ?

 

Brighton TID

New member

Jul 24, 2005

1,741

Horsham

• Dec 21, 2014

• #2

Blue Valkyrie said:

There has long been a theory that a team finishes roughly in the same position as where its relative budget lies in the table.

So, is our budget the 3rd worst in the league ?

Click to expand...

I would suggest this theory is bollox. Brentford this year? Burnley last year? Wolves last year with their parachute payments?

 

R

RyFish

Active member

Dec 6, 2011

281

• Dec 21, 2014

• #3

Brighton TID said:

I would suggest this theory is bollox. Brentford this year? Burnley last year? Wolves last year with their parachute payments?

Click to expand...

Us, the past two seasons?

 

Icy Gull

Back on the rollercoaster

Jul 5, 2003

72,015

• Dec 21, 2014

• #4

We are told that we had the 8th biggest budget when Poyet was here and that this season sees the biggest wage bill in our history, so we must be top ten and underachieving?


Another question is, do have the worst manager in the division, overachieving by not managing to have us last in the table though?

 

Bozza

You can change this

Helpful Moderator

Jul 4, 2003

55,717

Back in Sussex

• Dec 21, 2014

• #5

Money doesn't guarantee success in football, but it certainly increases your chances of performing well. Chelsea, Manchester City and Manchester United do not sit atop the Premier League season after season through luck alone.

If results and league position did always exactly correlate to the budgets of each club, then football would be very boring indeed - we'd know a season's outcome before a ball was kicked.

That said, [MENTION=31]El Presidente[/MENTION] has a theory that the money = success formula does go most awry in the Championship which I guess may not be massively surprising given the unsettling effects of relegation from the promised land of the Premier League and how clubs cope with that. Or don't cope with that in many cases.

 

1

1234andcounting

Well-known member

Mar 31, 2008

1,609

• Dec 21, 2014

• #6

I believe the book Soccernomics by Simon Kuper and Stefan Szymanski was one of the first to publish a correlation between playing budget and league position. I have to confess to not having read the book, only articles by Simon Kuper derived from its findings. There is a strong overall statistical correlation between playing budget and final league position but it doesn't mean that clubs with smaller budgets won't be successful or that clubs with large budgets won't be relegated.

Statistics, innit?