Got something to say or just want fewer pesky ads? Join us... 😊

Eng SL 1st 20:20



fleet

Well-known member
Jul 28, 2003
12,222
New era and bowlers start just as badly! Woakes always a worry for me
 




fleet

Well-known member
Jul 28, 2003
12,222
Having said that - Woakes out of the attack and now SL are 2 wickets down
 


Beach Hut

Brighton Bhuna Boy
Jul 5, 2003
71,903
Living In a Box
Sri Lanka 122/5 of 15 overs
 


akipling

Active member
Jan 12, 2010
163
Morecambe
How accurate is WASP? First time I've seen it being displayed and had to google it!

V(b,w) =r(b,w) +p(b,w) V(b+1,w+1) +(1-p(b,w)))V(b+1,w)

Let V(b,w) be the expected additional runs for the rest of the innings when b (legitimate) balls have been bowled and w wickets have been lost, and let r(b,w) and p(b,w) be, respectively, the estimated expected runs and the probability of a wicket on the next ball in that situation.

where b* equals the maximum number of legitimate deliveries allowed in the innings (300 in a 50 over game), we can solve the model backwards.

This means that the estimates for V(b,w) in rare situations depends only slightly on the estimated runs and probability of a wicket on that ball, and mostly on the values of V(b + 1,w) and V(b + 1,w + 1), which will be mostly determined by thick data points.

It all falls into place if u think about it lol
 
Last edited:






The Wizard

Well-known member
Jul 2, 2009
18,383
England getting massively behind in the rate and leaving too much for the lower order hitters. Surprise surprise.

It appears only Hales can bat properly.
 


vulture

Banned
Jul 26, 2004
16,515
Bit silly that our best player in this form off the game can not play for us again. And they play Bell who has not a played a 20-20 for over 3 years!
 






The Wizard

Well-known member
Jul 2, 2009
18,383
Also when was the last time Morgan did anything of note for England?

Hales & Buttler batting well but they've been left far too much to do by the top order.
 






Ali_rrr

Well-known member
Feb 4, 2011
2,670
Utrecht, NL
England getting massively behind in the rate and leaving too much for the lower order hitters. Surprise surprise.

It appears only Hales can bat properly.

This, it's really stupid. Sometimes they aren't thinking right. Plus, we are too defensive when chasing.
 


The Wizard

Well-known member
Jul 2, 2009
18,383
See look at some of this hitting now.... If Morgan & Bell hadn't wasted so many balls being too careful we might have had a shot.

Hales has basically had to try and do this on his own, it's pathetic.
 











Paying the bills

Latest Discussions

Paying the bills

Paying the bills

Paying the bills

Albion and Premier League latest from Sky Sports


Top
Link Here