Stating the obvious perhaps but looking at the stats, whoever scores the first goal is vital. Reading have similar stats to us under Gus, when they score first they never lose and when they concede first they very rarely comeback to win (first time in over a year yesterday, unfortunate timing ). However, Burnley have the best defence in the league and if they score first Reading will be forced to throw men forward which will play into the hands of Burnley's counter attacking style.