What don't they get, the points allocated this season:
Burnley 15
Cardiff City 15
Brentford 5
Crystal Palace 5
Swansea City 15
Norwich City 15
Leicester City 15
Liverpool 5
Aston Villa 10
West Ham United 10
Southampton 10
Manchester United 5
Cardiff/Swansea/Leicester all League Cup mid week...
Really depends on whether the club take the full 3,000 allocation.
The week before Christmas combined with an early kick off may mean that they go for a lesser amount, thereby reducing your chances.