Still it looks like Swansea will be accompanied by Brighton and Southampton (but Huddersfield are nearer the drop).
I've not even factored in our inability to stop conceding from straightforward corners.
Adjust Arsenal to 76 pts and overtaken by Spurs.
Did the calculator and we will have to do better as I have us going down on 36 pts with Southampton and Swansea, whereas 37 pts would have kept us up.
Got us as a 1-1 draw at WBA when a victory is needed to make up for drawing with Bournemouth. Everton are not safe yet.