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This is the area where, depending on your faith in the data,, you have to decide whether or not your trust the numbers. The probabilities of each chance are derived from historic real-world data of similar chances; it’s not something that someone has made a subjective decision on. To us it may...

Understat had that header as an xG of 0.31 and the Gilmour chance he missed as 0.03.

Lots of people seem to get unecessarily annoyed by xG for whatever reason, but it's just a stat that you're perfectly at liberty to look at or ignore. I personally think it's an excellent numerical representation of how well your strikers and goalkeeper have done, and it can often tell a...