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Ah, so they DO take into account who has the chance, when deciding the likelihood of scoring... :whistle:

I'd argue that this is a bit wrong. Let's say you are a player out wide, with the ball at your feet - there's two defenders in the middle, with your striker about to run between them. If that striker is Andy Carroll, or Glenn Murray, there is a type of ball you can put in that creates a genuine...

Out of interest, do you happen to know whether they factor in WHO the chance falls to? It is all very well, the dataset decreeing that an unmarked header for 6 yards out, gives you n% chance of scoring a goal, but in reality the genuine % likelihood of that specific chance being converted, by...

Surely even a gentle back pass to the keeper's feet, carries a goal threat (just) above zero? (Just ask Hugo Loris)