yep, which is not the Sage recommendation. they call it a "short period" then go on to detail it as restrictions to get R below 1, so is open ended. Starmer has latched onto something he can make a political position of, without real qualification, confident wider public wont read the Sage...
the real problem is this "circuit breaker" according to Sage is full lockdown: no houshold meeting, closing pubs, resturants, gyms etc. for 2-3 weeks. maybe 28 days, or more if needed (honestly, that is what they ask for). for Starmer it sounds like restrictions for very high but across the...
heres a thing, the hospitalisation rate for covid last week was 3.59 per 100,000, and 0.4 going into ICU. the higher rates of cases just arent translating to serious cases. we dont need to lockdown and stop spread, we need to suppress spread and viral load, which we are doing.
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easier to find than i thought. down the tread a similar one of Switzerland, more notable for incredibly low levels in Germany and Austria - we should be doing what ever they are doing because its working.
theres some very clear demographics data published, there's just no discussion about it. we're not the only ones, saw a similar map of Belgium and high/med areas shows the border between Walloon and Flanders regions.
the "circuit breaker" didnt work back in the spring, and that was how many weeks?
see Starmer has jumped on this, in favour of full lock down. meanwhile Labour mayors in Liverpool and Manchester complain about last orders at 10pm and bars shutting :shrug: