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This.

Jonathan Pearce (with 20 minutes to go plus stoppage time) said "a chance for Aguero to win it". A slip of the tongue, when he should be unbiased, revealing that he knew if was game over so very early? From his experience of watching thousands of games, he could clearly read the feel of the game.

True, but it's a balancing act. WBA, M'boro and Stoke are always excellent defensively, but with that the squad/team need to be able to score enough to eke out the points. That can be difficult if you have most of the personnel involved in keeping goals conceded down. Liverpool and Arsenal...

Depends on what you have up front. If the team has top flight quality pace and goals, you're quite right, Without that, the defensive work would stand for little and we've have stats all round like Boro 2016/17.

ManU, Spuds?

That wouldn't happen at Stoke, Palace, Everton ... just three examples. What's it all about?

Spot on. Nail hit firmly on its head.