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I'd rather play 'brough at home than away, and I'd rather play Preston than Derby. And I'd rather be two points ahead with a better goal difference. It's possible that could help us, but to be honest I wouldn't bet on it. They could be playing free attacking football, without nerves, in front of...

Decent odds against that, get some money on (ignoring games vs each other).

I don't see how. Our fixtures are very similar: Both home vs QPR Both away to Charlton (who might have something to play for against us) Both play Middlesbrough, they're at home We play Fulham at home (they have something to play for), they play Birmingham away We play Derby at home, they play...

Do you think Burnley will drop points to Birmingham? Even Leeds beat Birmingham!