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I'm not offering medical advice. It's basic maths applied to officially published Imperial College data and is simply alerting people to the principles of exponential growth. A personal opinion, no different from thousands of other personal opinions expressed online.

I apologise in advance for the length of this post, which I wrote for a local residents’ community forum where my son lives (in London). He, and a few NSC friends (one of whom is medically highly vulnerable) with whom I have shared the article by email, have encouraged me to post it on NSC, in...