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I've actually got us for 4 wins and 8 draws in my predictor. But a few of those draws are a bit dodgy - Saints (A) Palarse (A) Burnley (A) Leics (H) and no margin for error anywhere. So I'd like to get a 5th win somewhere and Newcastle away on current form and just before the window opens looks...

Only Liverpool away then .... hopefully we just need to protect a superior GD of 10+ ???

If we win 5 of the 6 home games against non top 6 sides and draw the other that puts us on 34 If we beat Newcastle away that gives us 37 If we assume 40 for complete safety that still leaves us needing to win 1 or draw 3 of the 6 remaining aways against sides outside the top 6 There's a whole...

It's 6 left against sides outside top 6 and I think we might need to win 5. That gets us to 33/34 so still need 6/7 from the away games. So we really do need to be looking for 3 at Newcastle or run the risk of simply running out of opportunities

I doubt you would be in a minority

I think we need 9 ... we have the beating of all of them (bar Chelski obv) and we need to be getting points on the board before the end of February when things get very horrid