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You gave your reason in the first post. Maybe you gave it again as you assumed that people might not have bothered reading to the end of your first post?

I'd go Draw, Everton, Watford Once Everton get their man and are active in January they'll get going. I don't really see Watford pulling far enough away to be thinking about anything other than survival. A home defeat today might spark the decline that I can see happening at some point, the...