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Agree but the difficulty of predicting is that things don't simply go as expected (on a single game basis). So I think it's all relative and will even itself out over time. So, ignoring points, I'm seeing Burnley and Hull in top 2 and us 4th. Something will change but it's the "most likely"...

Here's one .... thought I could attach an Excel file but can't see how? Geek eh?