You appear to be going round in circles without answering the question.
How does experience guarantee future results and therefore make him a non gamble?
Someone at some stage had to give mourinho experience the same with pep, gary monk or even hughton. How can you say Nathan Jones would not...
all managers are a gamble though. Most have been sacked at some stage for not getting the required results. What makes any of the current apparent short list a sure fire success? Why would hughton not be a big gamble?