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Liverpool's xG today was 4.4, one of the highest for any team all season. Leicester's was 0.1. And yet there will no doubt be pundits suggesting that Leicester were "unlucky not to get something from the game".

Bournemouth, vs Man City last season, are the only home team to register an xG of 0.0 for a PL match on 538 since the start of the 2016-17 season. Swansea managed it vs Huddersfield in March 2018 (and got a point too, as it finished 0-0). Everton had an xG of 0.02 at Chelsea in Nov 2016...

538 definitely take the identity of the shot-taker into account. There a long post on the site about their methodology which confirms it. Their numbers were also recently described by Kevin Pullein, the Racing Post's stats guru, as the best he'd ever come across, and given that he's rumoured...