Go along with most of this, although I'm still of the view that 38 will be more than enough for survival and, if this is the case, we can set our sights slightly lower.
Sounds about right to me. We've got six or seven home games left against teams outside the top six; we need to win at least four of those if we're going to stay up unless we can carve out at least two further away wins, which is historically unlikely.