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I think Spurs will get from 4-6 points, finishing on 61-63. Therefore we would need 6-8 points.

If Tottenham win their next 3 games, they can finish sixth with 66 points. Brighton currently have 55 points so it will be, at most, 11 points - considering our significantly better GD.

Those next two games, at home to Manchester United and Everton, will be vital for our run-in. If we can 6 points from those two, it will hopefully put us in a good position and may give us more confidence for that Arsenal game. Plus, once we face Arsenal, both Spurs and Villa will only have two...