These are the records of the teams immediately around us when they've conceded first in a match this season:
Burnley - conceded first in 12 games: W1 D4 L7
Blackburn - conceded first in 12 games: W2 D1 L9
Brighton - conceded first in 13 games: W0 D6 L7
M'boro - conceded first in 16 games...
I see your point, but disagree.
As a base, let's say we need to get another 30 points to be sure of a play off spot (takes us to 75 points, which is the safest indicator).
That's the equivalent of 10W/0D/6L. Or 9W/D3/4L. Or 8W/6D/2L.
We've conceded first in 43% of our league games so far this...
So with these stats in mind, would you agree with the statement:
In order to reach the play offs, it is likely we will need to win at least one match in which we concede first by the end of the season.
With 16 games to go I'm sure there will be at least 3 matches in which we go a goal behind...
I'm not so sure it's pointless. It depends how it is phrased. When people say we haven't won a match from a losing position for 80 odd games it's a bit pointless because it doesn't account for the games we've won or drawn in that spell.
If people say in the last 30 odd games when we've been in...
If yes, which game do you think it will be? You'd expect us to go behind in at least a few of the games before the season end, and if we're gonna make the play-offs you might think we need to win at least one of those games. So do you reckon it'll happen? I've got a FEELING it could happen...