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  1. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    In the real world It is best to remember just because an 'expert' or experts say something is likely to happen it doesn't necessarily make it true. Especially when their track record is extremely problematic. It's very telling you still can't provide evidence that these experts have any sought...
  2. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Your use of language suggests otherwise there are numerous examples where you have presented forecasts as certainties. Would you still decide to take a brolly if the forecasters were continually proved wrong? Not only wrong but couldn't predict rain even when dark storm clouds were directly...
  3. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    To be fair he might well be .. although he hides it very well.
  4. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Does it? In what way? I was responding to another posters point which you seem to think was directed at you. That's factually incorrect, many people portray forecasts as facts (see this thread) . That's a bit of a harsh description of your fellow Remainers.
  5. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Is that the royal 'we' because the person I was responding to often portrays forecasts as if they are facts. I'm sure you do think you are more informed than most.
  6. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    As you said yourself HT making these economic predictions is absurd. I doubt it.
  7. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Any evidence that these numerous organisations are any more likely to be right this time? - None Or do you just want to keep ignoring their track record? - Yes I would put some trust in organisations and people who have a proven verifiable track record in forecasting accurately. I would...
  8. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Haven't noticed anyone quoting Random Brexit posters on NSC as authoritative sources but to be fair they do generally make more convincing arguments than economists.
  9. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Correction ... economists are nearly always wrong. Any evidence that these numerous organisations are any more likely to be right this time? Or do you just want to keep ignoring their track record?
  10. JC Footy Genius

    How much is the Referendum Campaign influencing you? NEW POLL.

    Yes many of them do and what is their track record in accurately forecasting anything? ... two conclusions. The first was that forecasts are all much the same. There was little to choose between those produced by the IMF and the World Bank, and those from private sector forecasters. The second...
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