I have factored in teams that have nothing or very little to play for. I believe you would rather be playing someone in the middle third than in the bottom third. The margins are slim in this division meaning a team that gives a shit is a lot harder to beat than one that is already thinking...
I was very confident of us achieving the top two but have just done this and now not as confident. I get this:
1 Burnley 46 +36 91
2 Hull 46 +38 88
3 Brighton 46 +23 85
4 Middlesbrough 46 +28 83
It's not until you go through the fixtures that you realise that Hull and Burnley really do have a...