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It’s encouraging in that our play should be leading to more goals, which should yield more precious points. It’s discouraging in that it reinforces that we could be short of the effective firepower to convert that play into real actual goals.

...although they have us staying up (by goal difference): https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/

I was reading FiveThirtyEight earlier. This article scared me so I pretended it didn't exist... https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-newly-promoted-premier-league-teams-are-playing-like-they-belong/

Yep. Murray's chance had an xG of 0.05 and Knockaert's 0.03. The only other chances registered were Stephens (0.02) and your boy Ali J who seems to have shot from somewhere near the half-way line for an xG of 0.01.

Here's our xG from Saturday. I've highlighted the Burn header that hit the bar, as it has been determined as being our best chance with an xG of 0.38 - so roughly 1 time in 3 we should be scoring from that.

Essentially each chance a side creates is given a score from 0.00 (won't score) to 1.00 (absolute certainty of scoring) in terms of likelihood of scoring from that chance so, for example, a chance with an xG of 0.5 would mean you'd expect it to be scored 1 in 2 times. Various factors are used to...

Stat / xG fans - have you ever seen lower in a Premier League game? I can't believe even a Hiughton team provided so little thread in any game. Source: https://understat.com/match/11710