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Looking at their remaining fixtures, I reckon Burnley could be in trouble.

No, not quite. My formula is number of points team in 18th have + number of games that team has to play + 1. So, (Southampton) 9 + 23 + 1 = 33 points for survival. We need 4 more wins, and then we can declare 'safe'.

If we can go into the 2nd half of the season with at least 17 points, we have a fighting chance.