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The game is run by money and the pursuit of ever growing piles of it. At best City will get a fine which will do everything to appease the bean counters and nothing to affect the viability of the Champions League as a flagship product.

Yep. More likely than City being banned.

There is no chance of this happening. Less than zero. Think of the most unlikely thing that could ever happen and it will be vastly more likely to happen than City being banned.