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Interesting coming back and re-reading this after seeing what actually happened. Two things that sunk the Tory majority: 1. The students voted. 2. Tactical voting may have had an impact in some seats. And one thing that saved them from an even worse result: 3. The SNP stuffed up (IndyRef2)...

Saw an article on the Guardian recently that addressed this quite well. Yes, YouGov was set up by pro-Tory people, but the narrow gaps they are reporting are pretty easy to see are due to fairly transparent methodology reasons: they're predicting a higher than normal turn out from students, and...