It doesn't matter. It is still an opportunity that has been denied without an attempt to win the ball. Even if the foul doesn't occur and you judge Welbeck MIGHT not get to the ball first he has still been denied the opportunity to get a shot at goal.
Yes, as you describe the foul denies an obvious goal scoring opertinity. Height not make good contact or get their first but it is an opertinity to score. I don't see how it can be anything else.
Oh come off it. He was stopped making what would have been a goal bound header. That is the definition of a goal scoring opertinity.
Had it been the other way around the ref would have sent out player off.
Yes this was another bizarre judgement. Absolutely should have been a red card as the foiling player denied a goal scoring opertinity and made no attempt to win the ball.
It will be interesting hearing the audio for that part as well. That along with the decision. I suspect an apology is inbound.
Combine that with the obviousness of the foul and it all combines to one really bizarre review, even if the correct design was eventually arrived at.
I assume they will release the audio of this at some point?
I am amazed at how long it took for VAR to get the ref to look at that! You can understand a referee missing things in real time but how on earth did it take VAR that long to tell him!?