We need 33 points to get that 51. Doesn't have to be 11 wins. Could be 19 draws and seven wins (and one loss).
But statistically speaking, we don't need 51. On average the team finishing 21st (safe) has 49 points (and last year was just 44), the team finishing 22nd has 46-47 points (and has...
At the fans forum in August, someone asked about gus and Oscar quitting and what it said about this clubs ability to keep a manager as if losing a manager a year is the worst thing ever.
I wonder how that fan is feeling now - does he still not want to lose another manager?