I may have caused confusion here.
I assume our europe tracker is aimed at 7th place/60 pts.
I have muddied the water by putting an article that is only talking about top 4/5 places.
sometimes I am a muddier of waters.
from the article:
"
The standard positions that earn European places in the Premier League are:
Champions League: Top four
Europa League: Fifth
A second Europa League spot is awarded to the FA Cup winners, and the Carabao Cup winners earn a Europa Conference League play-off spot.
If the FA Cup...
I agree. the way I feel after the last 3 games, we are 99.95% going to make the CL, however before that, I may have been calculating relegation probabilities. (I tend toward the extremes).
the methodology is (explained/made up by chatgpt) in the article.