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Assuming the top 3 are clear. Chelsea need 11 points from 10 City need 12 from 9 Newcastle 13 from 10 Brighton 13 from 9 Villa 15 from 9 Bournemouth 16 from 9 Fulham 18 from 10 Brentford 19 from 9 Palace 21 from 10 It’s not hard to imagine at least 5 of those teams achieving their required...

It’s so hard to call because there are still a number of teams in contention and we still don’t know how far down the league the European spots will go. My gut instinct is similar to yours in that I think it’s gonna be 60+.

I wouldn’t say very likely. If Newcastle beat Liverpool it throws a spanner in the works. Not to mention the FA Cup winners could easily finish outside the top 6.