Our run in is very representative of the PL in general: We play 3 in the top 6 (I'm including Newcastle for now), 3 in the bottom 6, 2 from upper-mid table and 2 from lower-mid table. It couldn't be more evenly spread!
Fulham definitely have the harder run of fixtures: 4 against top-6 teams...
It was nothing more than a pipe dream after the Leicester 2-2 apparently, yet here we are still in with a realistic shot if we win the games we should.
Liverpool home and City away are the toughest, but other than that it's a fairly representative set of 13 fixtures as far as Premier League standard goes. We've played 6 of our 2nd-half-of-season fixtures and got 3 of the current top 6 out of the way already.
You're right. Although given that we seem to have turned a corner, I would be very dissapointed if we don't get more than 14 points from our final 13 fixtures.
At the other end, the relegation-avoidance tracker is innacurate as well. When was the last time that you needed 40 points to finish 17th? Certainly since we were promoted, 36 points has been enough every season.
The reason we were stuffed by Roma was not becuse the Europa QFs were a step to far. It was because De Zerbi only had one way of playing and our form was terrible at the time .
For context we were stuffed by Fulham 5 days before that fixture and were in the middle of that horrible...