I guess a flat rise of 1.65PPG wouldn't really show where we are in comparison with the actual games. For instance, we could have a far harder first half of the season (on paper) as so we'd all be up in arms that we were 'behind the PPG tracker', when actually we could be bang on 'expected'...
Leicester are on 25, so if they don't pick up a point we'd have been safe the game before - our 18th, Brentford, took us to 26.
So, two seasons in a row where we were effectively safe by the half-way stage. We really are a PL established club now.
So it's looking like 26-29 points would have been enough for safety. We reached that after game 20/21. If Leicester don't beat Bournemouth, then we were safe before the end of 2024, and possibly before the midway stage. Astonishing. But also a bit sad that the bottom three were so out of...
This is the BEST thread to come on after a depressing draw or defeat - as it puts it into context, and generally makes you feel better about it. For instance - Leicester away, only 'meant' to get one point anyway!