Virtually all of these are projections, based on current positions or club rankings; they could all be wrong.
For example, I'm certainly not convinced about Monaco, they are currently in qualifying position but they have tougher final games than Lille, who I think may sneak it ( as could Rennes)
I said that it was a doddle but on checking times, it takes five hours to get from Vilnius to Minsk - it's a little over 100 miles, They stopping for a cuppa along the way?