See above and below The slowdown is showing on the Zoe app, which uses (several million) people self reporting symptoms, alongside selective testing, to provide a predictive number for new symptomatic cases each day. It's generally been accurate on the trends (rather than numbers), and mainly...
It is what it is. All the sources have their own limitations, but as an indicator of trends overall it has been pretty accurate up to now I think, and slightly ahead of other data sources.
Thanks, that's good to know, as I wasn't aware of that and it makes sense. Hopefully that's the cause, as it did seem surprising. As mentioned above, I was expecting some slow down in the decline, but not as much as seems to be showing, and the Zoe app has been very reliable up to now, as an...
I know there are daily fluctuations - and the 7 day rolling is key, but generally each week follows a similar patter, and I was looking specifically at the Monday to Tuesday change. Last week it went down, this week up a bit. It's a sample size of 1, so normally I'd not think twice, but as I...
I really do hope it is not the case. My observation is mainly from the Zoe app, where there has been a definite slowdown and now very slight upturn over the last five days. That app is pretty reliable and tends to be the best early indicator of overall patterns, so I'm fairly sure this trend is...
Unfortunately the downward trend in infections seems to be levelling out. It may be a blip, as it's only been happening over a few days (on the Zoe app initially, but now signs in other data) but from watching trends over the last year, it looks more likely to me that we will now see a rise...