On reflection, 36 points will see us safe.
That means 3 of Bournemouth, Villa, West Ham and Watford need 9/10 more points which seems a bit fantastical.
1 more Win.
We rightly concentrate on who will catch us, but actually the teams right in the relegation mix will be looking at each other.
For instance, Villa are just 1 point from being out of the relegation zone and Norwich will be looking at the 7 point gap to safety not the 12 they are behind us.
I...
Their easier run in is when we play Liverpool and Man City, they play Burnley and Norwich. So they could gain 6 points on us on those 2 rounds of matches. Other than that, their run in is no easier than ours.
Regardless, if Newcastle beat Villa tomorrow, and Bournemouth don't win v Wolves, then...
I am prepared for Watford and Villa wins this round of matches.
Let's hope Spurs don't mess it up v West Ham tonight, though.
So the table may look worse before we finally cross line, but 4 more points should do it, 6 more to be almost certain.
Just had an "arrogant" look at the fixtures.
I don't think Norwich or Bournemouth will catch us now.
I also think that IF Newcastle beat Villa on Wednesday, then Villa will also finish below us.
The next round of matches :
Leicester v Albion
Spurs v West Ham
Newcastle v Villa ( reasonable potential for Villa to make up ground on us )
Norwich v Everton
Wolves v Bournemouth
Burnley v Watford ( reasonable potential for Watford to make up ground on us ).
I'd take a draw v Leicester if...