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  1. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    Yes. There won't be a No Deal, thankfully - as much fun as it might be to see the Tories collapse in disarray.
  2. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    Johnson will be brilliant at spin - and if he wants this deal to pass, and the EU want this deal to pass, it will pass. They WILL give him the face-saver. Politics. Its really just maths back in the UK parliament. Last time May's deal went for a vote it was defeated 344-286. Johnson, IDS and...
  3. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    Sorry, you've quoted me there, but my post is not in disagreement with yours. Boris will SAY that the Withdrawal Agreement has been changed, even though it WON'T be changed. There will be immaterial changes of language used - like Teresa May got when she went back to Brussels - but the basic...
  4. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    It won't be changed. They will say it will be, with some tenuous wording, you know "we have assurances this is temporary, not binding and we can unilaterally withdraw". None of this may be true, but Boris will say it and the press and the ERG will go along with it and the Withdrawal Agreement...
  5. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    They've already agreed to the Withdrawal agreement, so as it won't have changed it will be fine
  6. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    It will be a chat with Barnier Juncker and Tusk, the agreement will be literally unchanged other than inserting some latin proverbs and the pronouncements of some 14th century german scholar that 'prove' the backstop will definitely be replaced with a suitable alternative within 12 months and...
  7. Kalimantan Gull

    [Politics] Do you believe we are going to leave the EU on October 31st

    My feeling is that we will leave, and with a deal. Boris will head back to Brussels and come back with some very minor changes to the current agreement, amounting to nothing more than semantics - but it will be dressed up as a big change, the backstop still there but renamed. Boris will thus...
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