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The odds will price in the assumption that they’re going to spend a few quid in the transfer window. If they don’t, then those odds will shorten significantly.

For what it’s worth, that’s still higher than at any point in the previous 2 seasons until we were mathematically safe. I think you could get 50s after we drew at Burnley in 2018 and around 25-1 when Cardiff were 4 points behind with Palace and Man U to play. Yes I follow odds very closely.

Still 28-1 available. Last night was a game that we were never expected to get anything from, so that seems about right. Man U will probably dispatch Bournemouth and Villa with ease in their next 2 fixtures as well.

Think of it as a parachute payment to cover your season ticket for 3 years!

Interesting movement here. Watford lose (and drop 3 very winnable points) and their relegation odds lengthen; whereas the odds of all the teams below them shorten! The only thing that makes sense is that our odds have lengthened as Watford stay at arms length with only 7 games to go.

I thought that. They do however have a much easier run in on paper than everyone else. Final day fixture against Villa could be interesting though.

It's going to have been a 16 week break by the time we kick off our next game, isn't it? When you consider that the summer break between seasons is usually only 13 weeks, I think that you can probably remove the form factor.

There's certainly value there. The bottom 6 are going to be far more focussed and motivated to train and play in empty stadiums than most of the other teams, with the exception of Liverpool, until they're over the line, and possibly Sheffield Utd. There'll almost certainly be a few results...

17/4 is more than 4/1. We’re probably still at longer odds than we were the day the season kicked off, aren’t we?

The bookies disagree about it being just us and Cardiff in the mix. Best odds for Burnley to get relegated are 13/2, whereas you can still get 20s on us.

I think you're right. If we beat Cardiff, they'd need 9 points from their other 8 games, which include 4 of the top 6.

What happens if we don’t win?

You could get at least 16s after we beat Arsenal at home last year. Odds certainly weren’t as high at such an early stage though - I think we were still around 2-1 at the same stage last year, even though we had the same points.

And the three teams that went down stayed down, or worse in Sunderland’s case.