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As always pretty good bet to stay up is a point a game so 38................Fact is we could have same points as bottom place and stay up (four teams on same points we have better goal difference) Before yesterdays game with the last nine games we have, I considered we were 50/50 to stay up...

18th place + 1 point? Maybe not ! Same points as 18th place but 1 better goal difference will do.