Whilst everyone will talk about that fumble/interception, in truth your last sentence is what ought to be talked about - we knew what was coming. And being specific, something happened a few plays later that we didn't know was coming - the Jags stopped a Pats drive when a TD seemed inevitable...
They went out to 5/1 on Betfair after the Jags kicked their FG to go 20/10 up, and then when they got that fumble it went out even further.
Then Brady probably proved just why he is labelled the GOAT with that play at 3rd and 18. If they don't make the yards there, the game is over. But then...